MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
Quick Notes: Good morning everyone! I hope everyone is enjoying their summer. I’m an insurance adjuster and we had tornados and large hail hit really close to my house so I’ve been swamped at work. I’ve hired two programmers to work on some exciting stuff for the website and PGA / NFL that is upcoming. I wanted to get out an article today since it’s been a few since I could post anything!
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
PATRICK CORBIN (11200) – The reason I like Corbo on the upside is 3 of his last 4 games have been monsters putting up 36, 39 and 31 DK points. He is coming off a 9.0 inning complete game with 0 ER. He had a rough start @ NYM but I can look past that. In the projected starting lineup for Cincy they have 71 Abs vs. Corbin and 17 Ks. Corbin has been much better vs. RHH and it looks like a lot of RHH unless Votto is in the lineup and he is ice cold! Bullpen might blow the win for him but he should rack up some points!
BRAD PEACOCK (9900) – If you want to drop down the price tag and save some money you have Peacock who has just put up 26.5 points vs. BOS going 6.0 / 0 ER / 8 Ks. Prior to that start he has 31 DK points vs. CHW. In his last 4 starts he even has a 40.75 DK point start! Houston also holds the #4 bullpen over the last 5ish weeks with a low 3.65 xFIP, 1.14 whip, 1.03 HR/9 and allowing a low .212 average. Oakland has been hot as of late but only hitting .241 vs. Peacock through 79 team Abs.
ZACK WHEELER (8700) – He has recent starts of 27, 18, 6, 32 and 27 DK points. Coming off 7.1 innings vs. DET with 8 Ks. He faces ARI who has a wRC+ 11 points lower at home and they are on a 4 game losing streak.
MILES MIKOLAS (6500) – Dirt cheap GPP shot here. He has ranged from -13 DK points giving up 7 ER in only 1.1 innings @ TEX to 24 DK points in his last start vs. a tough ATL team going 7.0 innings and putting up 9 Ks. His range is all over the place but he is a great GPP target that should be low owned. Cubs are only 14 of 59 vs. Mikolas for a .237 batting average and only 1 HR in those 59 Abs. Worth a dart at his price tag!
TYLER MAHLE (6200) – I’m trying to focus on cheap plays as that is typically where the GPP winning lineups are located. Another cheap GPP target is Mahle who is ranging from 3 DK points in his last start @ CHC giving up 6 ER in 5.0 innings to a previous 4 strong starts in a row putting up 23, 18, 25 and 21 DK points vs. weaker teams. WSN has a wRC+ that is 20.5 points lower on the road at 74.54. They have won 2 in a row but vs. RHP over the last 5ish weeks they have a wRC+ of only 71.0, 23.5% strikeout rate and .225 batting average. CIN also boasts the #2 bullpen with a 3.44 xFIP, 1.20 whip and allowing a low .240 average so they can hold onto the win if they get the lead.
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
CLEVELAND VS. COVEY – This sounds like a law suit, lol. Covey is priced at a low 4600 on DK and for good reason. He has given up 8 ER in his last two starts combing for 10.0 innings. CLE only has 32 Abs vs. Covey but hitting .313 vs. him and the CHW have the 24th ranked bullpen behind them with a 4.75 xFIP and 1.42 whip.
COLORADO VS. EDWIN JACKSON – This will be chalky so I won’t spend much time on it. Jackson has given up 7 and 5 ER in his last two starts and now he goes to Colorado to face a team that is hitting .306 against him in 49 Abs. Going to be a rough day for EJax!
BOSTON VS. HAPP – Happ has given up 6 ER, 0 ER and 4 ER in his last 3 starts. Boston hitters are only hitting .200 through 135 Abs but Happ is struggling so I’m going to throw that out the window. He has a 5.05 xFIP and .360 wOBA vs. RHH so far this year and will gave to face a plethora of RHH in Chavis, Mookie, Xander, Martinez, etc. #BoSox!
MIL vs. ARCHER – Archer has given up 4, 3, 6 and 6 ER in his last 4 starts but they were tough matchups. MIL has a 107.8 wRC+ on the road which is 11 points better than their home number. They also are 18-12 in their last 30 games and scoring 5.7 runs per game over the last week. MIL is hitting .306 vs. Archer through 62 Abs. Archer boasting a 5.82 xFIP to LHH and 6.05 to RHH. He is just not all the way back and we are going to take advantage of that!
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