MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
SONNY GRAY (11200) – Super consistent coming off 31, 32, 28 and 25 DK point starts he has only allowed 1 ER in his last 24.0 innings with 34 strikeouts! He also has 14 walks and if he could cut those down he could push 35-40 DK points! Road stats are a 2.81 ERA – 1.14 whip and allowing a .196 batting average.
HOMER BAILEY (9100) – Coming off 27 and 32 DK point starts and $2.1k lower than Gray? Sure I’ll take a shot here. He has 12.2 innings across his last two starts and only allowed 1 ER and 15 strikeouts. 2x floor should be easy to hit for cash games and has 3x upside! His BABIP is .303 and that indicates he has been “unlucky” a bit and we should expect that to come down. KC is hitting .199 over the last week as a team and scoring only 3.2 runs per game. KC’s projected 2, 4, 5, 6 and 7 hitters have an ice cold ranking over the last 14 days as they are all under 3.9 FPPG and rank 29th in our L10 game power rankings.
PABLO LOPEZ (7400) – Coming off the IL he is the wildcard and will likely be on a lower pitch count. Before he went down he had 17, 23 and 29 DK point starts so he may be worth a look.
JOE MUSGROVE (6000) – This is my punt play today. In his last 7 starts he has the low end of 0, -2 and -5 DK points and the high end of 28, 19 and 31 DK points. His last two starts he went -2 and gave up 5 ER in 5.0 innings with only 1 K. Prior to that he faced a tough Cubs team and went 7.1 with 2 ER and 9 Ks. He is all over the place but the 30 DK points is 5x value and can’t ignore that value in GPPs! His BABIP is .294 and that indicates he has been “unlucky” a bit and we should expect that to come down. Philly is only hitting .234 as a team over the last week and they have a .161 average vs. Joe but its only 31 faced Abs. Roads stated for Musgrove at 4.02 – 1.26 - .250 average allowed.
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
CARDINALS vs. BREW CREW – If you are looking for something less popular tonight I’d look at this time. Vegas total is only 9.5 and 94% of Vegas Money is on the over. STL has been hot scoring 6.6 runs per game over the last week while hitting a nice .289 and get Gio Gonzalez. They have a .312 average as a team off Gio through 138 team Abs and the 24th ranked bullpen slides in after GIO. Cardinals also 7-3 in their L10 games. On the other side Brewers get Waino and they are hitting him at a .346 clip through 81 team Abs. MIL has been cold scoring only 3.5 and hitting .236 over the last week. Waino has been solid at home but on the road he has a 6.64 ERA (4.79 xFIP) and his whip jumps from 1.23 to 1.57 and batting average allowed jumps from .238 out to .294. His last start was actually vs. MIL and he gave up 5 ER in 5.0 innings on 8 hits and only 2 Ks for -2 DK points.
I don’t mind the normal stacks such as the NYY and LAD. They are common and you can see the hot hitters on the cheatsheet so I won’t spend a ton of time on them. Seattle could get sneaky as they are 4th in our L10 game rankings and Happ has a 5.19 xFIP split. Oakland vs. Keller isn’t terrible as Oakland is 9th in our L10 game power rankings and Keller has a 5.00 split xFIP with a 1.53 whip and KC has the 28th ranked bullpen. I’m going to try some game stacking tonight on the small slate and see if I can’t get a back and forth game.
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Haze
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