MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
Ugly pitching slate for today as most of the solid guys are high priced studs. I don’t mind going with Straus, Price or Berrios today but I’m torn on Syndergaard. Syndergaard has given up 5, 4 and 5 ER in his last 3 starts. He has also given up 27 hits and 8 walks in those 3 starts which is across 15.0 innings. Now he did have some tough starts vs. PHI, STL and MIL in those 3 and today he gets a soft CIN team that has a team strikeout rate of 24.5% and a low .210 team batting average. You would think that this would be his breakout game and should be solid in a GPP if he does get that breakout. CIN has hitters like like Puig (.215 wOBA vs. PH), Peraza (.230 wOBA), Schebler (.237 wOBA), etc. I think I’ll lean to him as a GPP play at (9400) on DK and hope most people pay up.
PITCHER CLIFF NOTES:
DUFFY – Tampa Bay has a 30.1% strikeout rate vs. LHP but Duffy only has 1 start this year and he gave up 3 ER with only 1 K to a tough LAA team that doesn’t strike out much.
STRAHM – He has put up 22.5, 24.8 and 16 DK points in his last 3 starts and only given up 3 ER across all 3 starts. Tough matchup @ ATL who is only striking out 19.1% of the time as a team to pitcher hand.
MORTON – Morton has been 20+ DK points in 4 of his 6 starts this year and the other two were 16.7 and 11.7 so he is at least giving you positive performances. He has a solid 11.3 K9 ratio to LHH and 10.1 K9 to RHH with a sub 1.15 whip to both sides of the plate. I can’t get a handle on KC as they put up hardly anything vs. terrible pitchers and then they go out and blast Kluber and Snell, wtf? I don’t mind Morton as there are not a ton of strong mid-range options.
PEACOCK – Typically I’m all over Peacock but we have seen pitchers face the same team for the second time and have the similar result. Peacock just faced MIN and put up less than 4 DK points.
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
NYM vs. Tyler Mahle – Mahle has a 5.39 xFIP to LHH and a low 5.9 K9 rate and allowing a WHIP of 2.00 with a .420 wOBA. Stacks mets and work to build around their LHH such as Nimmo who is only (3900), Conforto (4700) and McNeil (4300). If you are going to hit some of those middle heart of the order bats I’d go with Pete Alonso who is crushing a 10.1 FPPG and a .361 wOBA vs pitcher hand and if you drop down you can add in Amed Rosario (4100) who has a .329 wOBA and 7.3 FPPG to fill out the stack. Even over all of 2018 Mahle held a 6.03 xFIP to LHH with a 3.66 to RHH. So yes he was terrible last year so this year isn’t a fluke in the stats. NYM are scoring 5.0 runs per game and projected a 4.2.
COL vs. Freddy Peralta – Freddy Peralta has a 4.57 xFIP to LHH and not enough RHH to show up for this year. In 2018 he held a 5.29 xFIP to LHH and 4.11 xFIP to RHH. He was pretty solid in 2018 vs. RHH with a 9.9 K9, 0.70 whip and 0.182 wOBA. Heck he even has a 42 DK point start @ CIN going 8.0 innings, 2 hits and 11 Ks. However his last two starts @ LAA and STL he has -1.9 and 2.7 DK points. He only lasted 3.1 in both starts and gve up 10 ER across those 6.2 innings. I prefer the NYM stack but this would be my #2. Nolan Arenado has been getting hot lately at (4800) so I’d definitely have him in your stack.
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