MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
Back from Vegas and I’ve been posting in the paragraph form in our Facebook group and Flick chat group since time has been tight and I’ve been exhausted! I’m ready to hammer on the main slate today and give you my thoughts! I have also tweaked my sports betting sheet and the daily fantasy sheet together so all my stuff is in a single spot! Feel free to join us on FLICK (link below) as we have topics for various DFS sports such as wNBA, MLB, NBA, NFL, etc. and also hit on Sports Betting, etc.
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
Washington vs. Taylor Clarke – With a low 9.9% swinging strike rate, and a 6.93 xFIP vs. LHH he may get beat up on today. Arizona has a decent bullpen but still ranks 17th with an xFIP of 4.15 and whip of 1.40. No BVP data to report on. Rendon is a whopping 5,800 but if you skip him you can get a 5 man stack with a mid to upper 4k range. Turner has a 16.2 FPPG over the last week and 12.9 over the last 14 days at 5400 and he has to be included due to his base stealing ability. Clarke has given up 4, 2 and 5 ER in his last 3 starts and only lasted 3.1, 5.0 and 2.0 innings.
Cleveland vs. Gregory Soto – Cleveland is single handedly killing one of my season long leagues this year, lol. Soto has been terrible and he was sent down to AAA and now back up for another start. He gave up 5 ER in 3.2 on May 24th and then 3 ER in 4.0 on May 19th and 2 ER in 2.0 prior to that. He has a 9.0% swinging strike rate and an xFIP vs. LHH over just shy of 9.00 and DET also has the dead last ranked bullpen since May 1st. Cleveland has been terrible and if they get put a 7 spot on the board today I’m done with them! Luplow (4300) has a .509 wOBA vs. pitcher hand and a OBP+ ISO score of 1.074 and a L14 game ceiling of 28! They have great ceilings just have to get them on the right day. (Added note: Kipnis is 3,000 and I’m fading him, 3.3 FPPG last 7 and 2.5 over L14 and a L14 game ceiling of only 10, no thanks! Also Jose Ramirez at 3700 is decent to squeeze in there.)
NYY vs. Reynaldo Lopez – Lopez just tossed a great game with 6.0 innings and only 1 ER but that was vs. the Royals who are terrible this year. Prior to that he gave up 6, 5, 12, 7 and 4 ERs and only made it to the 6 inning mark once in those starts. NYY is a powerhouse offense even without Judge and Stanton. However, they have lost 3 straight and 3-7 in their last 10 games so hopefully they will be lower owned… maybe??? But it’s the Yankees no maybe not… Stack anyone except Aaron Hicks he has been ice cold with 3.3 FPPG over the last week and he is priced way up at 4400, yuck! He is also only 1 for 7 vs. Lopez. If you skip Sanchez (only to save money) at 5200 you can take the 5 hitters around Sanchez and Hicks for a 4400 average which is nice for a NYY stack.
Texas vs. Tanner Roark – I can’t believe Texas is a dog in this game but anyways… Roark has given up 4 ER in both of his last two starts and Texas has solid BVP numbers vs. him hitting a whopping .341 with 41 Abs and only striking out 20% of the time. Priced in the mid to upper tier the top 5 hitters will cost you 4,860 on average but you can kick one of those guys out and slide down the list and take a Cabrera or Odor for 4100 or 3900 and lower that average. Cabrera is 6 for 17 vs. Roark and Odor is 2 for 4. For a team that is 20-10 in their last 30 games and 12-8 on the road I’ll take that facing a Cincy team scoring an average of only 2.8 runs per game the last 7 days! Yes Please!
White Sox vs. Chad Green – Chad Green has been solid with a 14.3% swinging strike rate but does hold a 5.13 xFIP vs. LHH and has the 4th best bullpen behind him. However White Sox are CHEAP! You can stack the 1-5 hitters for an average of only 4100 and if you skip Moncada you can get that number down to around 3900 average. That’s pretty decent for a team that has won 3 straight and 12-8 at home since May 1st. Cheap GPP stack only.
FAVORITE ONE OFF HITTERS:
Brock Holt (3900) He is 9 for 14 vs. Bundy and coming off a big game but this isn’t for the main slate but wanted to toss him out there!
Eloy Jimenez (3800) – He has 41, 27, 21 and 16 point games in 4 of his last 6 and he is 1 for 2 vs. Green. Very cheap with upside hitting 5th in the White Sox lineup.
Jose Ramirez (3700) – Ice cold Jose coming off a 21 point game is dirt cheap if you need a 3B. Cleveland should put up a decent amount of runs today and he has a shot to get his!
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
FRAMER VALDEZ (7700) – Yes please! He has 2 starts and has only given up 1 ER in 11.0 innings across those two starts with 10Ks. Should be a good shot for the win facing a horrible Toronto team that ranks 27th in their last 10 game power rankings and scoring 3.9 runs per game on the year.
SEAN NEWCOMB (7700) – I think this is worth a shot vs. a decent Philly team. He is coming off a 25.9 DK point start vs. a bad PIT team going 4.2 with 0 ER and 6Ks. Philly has BVP history of only 38 Abs but in those they are only hitting .184 vs. Newcomb with a 26% strikeout rate. There is some risk here but worth a shot for GPPs.
NOTES ON THE HIGH END PITCHERS:
I can’t find much I like on pitching below the mid 7K range. As always if you can fit into the studs they are find today. Walker Buehler is (10,200) but coming off 34 and 40.8 DK point starts and has 20 Ks in his last 15.0 innings. Strausburg (10,700) I won’t be on because I never use him but he is having a solid season and has 12 Ks in his last 12 innings. He always manages a blow up game from time to time and I don’t want to be apart of it especially with the terrible bullpen behind him. I need a lock at a “Win” for a 5 digit price tag. Odorizzi (10,900) blew my mind when I saw his price tag but it is vs. the Royals and Minny should be in line for an easy “Win” and he is coming off 27, 33 and 32.8 point starts putting up 8, 9 and 9 strikeouts and only allowing 1 ER across all 3 of those starts, now that is impressive! Finally, top dog Chris Sale (11,600) comes in at that nose bleed price tag coming off 33 and 51 DK point starts with 22 Ks in his last 16 innings. He faced Baltimore on May 8th and putting up 41 DK points going 8.0 innings with 1 ER and 14 Ks so I think that is a good indicator of how this game may go. I’d give up a 30 DK point floor right now if you can fit him in he is my favorite “SAFE” pitcher on the slate but he is expensive!
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Haze
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