NBA Plays & Stats for (January 31st, 2020) from CheatSheetPros!
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
We are going to rotate with articles vs. videos so watch for both! I’ve been working on the new sports betting model all morning so article coming a little late today. For my core plays I'm taking 1 of these two top studs below and the 3 guys listed below!
PLAYERS TO CONSIDER:
LEBRON JAMES (10,300) – First game after the death of Kobe so I think LBJ comes out firing and playing hard in honor of Kobe. Team total of 122 and DVP spot of 1.03 is solid. Total Edge (we are looking for players of 100, but prefer 120) and he is at a solid 180. That means there is a solid team total, game total and DVP spot.
DAMIAN LILLARD (9900) – Playing out of his mind right now is Lillard who is the top GPP algo play on the early morning cheatsheet. Priced at 9900 on DK and 10,100 on FD he has a 79.1 DKP average over his last 4 games, that is crazy! They come in to this game as a double digit dog so he will need to score to stay in it. I love the pair with LeBron on the other side. In the sports betting model I’m working on I noticed that POR is up on their 3 point % from 36.5% on the year to 49% over the last 3 games. Lakers are also allowing more 3 balls than what POR is shooting so that could open up some extra scoring since Lillard is red hot right now.
ZION WILLIAMSON (7000) – Remember we are looking for a total edge over 100-120 right? Zion has an edge of 177.6 which is solid, he is playing close to 30 minutes now and this game has a massive 240 point total. DVP spot is a solid 1.00 and he is producing between 1.31 – 1.35 FPPM.
JONAS VALANCIUNAS (6300) – Total edge is a whopping 213! DvP spot is a whopping 1.26 as the opponent is giving up over 60 DKP to the position over the last two weeks. Wow! He is also putting up 5.3x value playing 29 minutes and should get some extra run tonight in a game with a massive total.
JALEN BRUNSON (3800) – No Luka and Jalen has smashed when moving into the starting lineup. He is expected to start tonight and will easily be the chalk value of the night. Go ahead and eat that chalk playing only 17.9 minutes he isputting up 4.54x value. He comes into a DvP spot of 1.08 which is solid and a game total of 239.5. Priced under $4k he should easily hit value tonight and likely end at 6x-7x. I mean he is between 1.06 and 1.00 FPPM and projected to play 30 minutes in a great spot with a great total so if you do basic math you have 30 minutes x 1.00 = 30 points which is over 7x.
ALSO CONSIDER: Tim Hardaway Jr (Q), Kristaps P & Serge Ibaka!
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Thank you for reading and good luck!
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