NBA DFS Plays (December 3rd) from CheatSheetPros!
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
Last night our test algo continued to provide solid plays. Sorting our sheets by “Test Algo” and then finding the players that were projected for 30+ minutes gave us: Saric – 6.0x value, Holmes – 5.7x value, Kaminsky – 6.6x value and Bowman – 5.9x value. A solid core of mid-tier players to build around for your lineups!
PLAYERS TO CONSIDER:
JaMychal Green (3500) – He is Q with a bruised tailbone so watch for the updates throughout the day. Team implied total of a whopping 120 points and they are allowing 54.0 fantasy points to the PF position over the last 14 days. This is 9.5% higher than the average allowed to the position on the slate. Green only played 10 minutes due to the tailbone last time out but prior to that he put up 29, 24 and 21 DK points and those were good for 6x, 6.7x and 6.9x his salary at the time. After his priced jumped to 4200 the 10 minutes played pulled his salary back down to 3.5k on DK.
Bruce Brown (4200) – In his last 6 games he has put up as high as 36.5 points and as low at 16 points. So we are looking at around a 4x floor and around a 9x ceiling. He is playing around 26 minutes per game right now. Tonight he gets a setup vs. CLE where they are allowing 54.5 points to his position and that is 8.9% above average for the slate allowed to that position.
Fred VanVleet (7500) – For 5x value we need 37.5 points. He has put up 50, 49, 24, 44 and 43 DK points in his last 5. The 24 point game was a blowout win where they won by 28 so he wasn’t needed as much. He is a “purple pricing” core player. We like to find these players in the 6k-8k range that have 50 point upside. They are great for GPPs!
Clint Capela (7800) – Spurs are giving up 56 points to the C position over the last 14 days and that is 23.2% of the total points they are allowing. Also 25% of his games are hitting the 7x mark. He has put up 58, 45, 40, 58, 42, 45, 52 and 57 points in his recent contest. We are only looking for 39 points to hit his 5x value. He has been a rebounding machines which is one of the reasons Westbrook hasn’t been putting up big numbers. Total rebounds for Capela in his last 5 are 22, 19, 21, 20 and 20. Plus Houston doesn’t play a lick of defense! He is also a “purple pricing” core player!
Kawhi Leonard (8700) – Kawhi has been priced at 9300, 8800, 10K, 9500, 9300 and 9700 and now he is down to 8700 giving us a solid floor and player to build around. He has put up 49, 43 and 46 points in his last 3 which is only about 5x but that is his floor. He had a string of 57, 54, 50 and 63 point games giving us a solid ceiling. He is taking around 20 shots a game and with his defensive stats he is a solid building block.
Luka Doncic (11,300) – Nose bleed pricing here but Luka can still reach 6x pretty easily. For 5x we need 56.5 points and 6x we need around 68 points. He has put up 60, 74, 44, 71, 63, 75 and 78 DK points in his recent contest so he is frequently hitting that mark. Vegas implied team total is a nice 118.5 points as of this morning.
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Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze
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