MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
RECAP: Yesterday we have you 3 solid stacks. White Sox/Houston which both scored 7 runs and they were the two highest scoring teams on the slate along with the Cardinals who scored 4 runs. Lyles was our favorite pitcher on the slate for value and was the 4th most valuable pitcher. StatWise MLB Sheet goes 9-5 on picks for +4.30 units. It’s hard to turn a profit across an entire slate of MLB games with all the juicy in the lines but we managed it!
TEAM STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST!
WHITE SOX vs. NORRIS – Norris has not been a terrible pitcher tossing out of the pen. He has limited innings this year but so far a 7.33 xFIP to LHH and 5.79 xFIP to RHH and his K9 rate is below 5.0. He is also giving up a massive wOBA with .383 to LH and .436 to RH. But those are limited stats so take them with a grain of salt. The main reason I like this stack is the price. Yes Tim Anderson (4800) and Moncada (4700) are high but you can package guys around them for 3800-4100 and lower that average price point. Garcia (4100) .341 wOBA vs. pitcher hand and 8.4 FPPG. Jose Abreu (3800) is struggling this year but could breakout at anytime. Alonso (3800) is starting to warm up with a .387 wOBA vs. PH. Sneaky Pick is Jose Rondon (3500) with a .618 wOBA vs. PH and OBiso of 1.000 which is 400 points higher than anyone else on the team.
ST LOUIS vs. FLEXEN – Flexen is getting his first start this year and last year had a torn meniscus. He posted a 4.40 ERA and 1.52 WHIP is AAA. That’s horrible. Cardinals again are cheap and their top 4 wOBA hitters on our stack sheet have a 10.25 FPPG with an average price of (4425) and 2.32x value. We recommend having at least a 2.0x value for a stack. Goldy (4400) .398 wOBA, DeJong (4500) .426 wOBA, Ozuna (4600) .428 wOBA. Those wOBA numbers are vs the current pitcher handedness so build around those guys.
NYM vs. Mikolas – Mikolas is a solid pitcher. In his last 15 innings to the 2018 season he only allowed 1 ER with 14 Ks. This year he is not there yet. He has given up 3, 3, 3 and 5 runs in his 4 starts and failed to strikeout more than 3 hitters in any outing. He has also only lasted 5.0, 6.0, 5.0 and 5.0 innings. (For the record I’m trying to buy him in season long leagues while his numbers are down.) NYM average 5.7 runs per game. Mikolas has a 7.38 xFIP, 1.82 whip and .445 wOBA to LHH. Building around Cano (3600), Conforto (5000) and even McNeil (4200).
ARIZONA vs. Yu Darvish – Don’t like this as a full stack but a mini-stack for sure. ARI scoring 5.2 runs per game. Christian Walker (4200) is a freaking beast! He has a .503 wOBA vs. PH and .989 OBiso and 9.7 FPPG average. Love him if he is in the lineup! Also build around RHH. Adam Jones (4100) is another solid hitter .424 wOBA and .693 OBiso vs. pitcher hand. Right now Jones is projected as the #4 and Walker #6.
TAMPA BAY vs. Porcello – Ricky is struggling this year as is most BOS pitchers. He started off the year giving up 4 runs and 4 walks in 2.2 innings, then came back to 10 hits and 7 ER in 4.2 innings. Most recently vs. BAL he gave up 3 ER in 4 innings with only 2 Ks. Yuck! TB scoring 5.0 runs per game and you can stack 4 guys here for about the mid 4k price tag. Austin Meadows (5300) is smashing and has a .465 wOBA vs. PH, Yandy .393, Lowe (.386), Garcia .415. Porcello is giving up a 7.16 xFIP to LHH and 6.48 to RHH. His wOBA numbers are also insane with a .541 to LHH and .421 to RHH. Mix in some Rays!
PITCHERS: Poker game ran late last night so I need to get this posted for everyone so I’m jumping right over to pitchers.
STUD: MAX SCHERZER – Nose bleed pricing at 12,000 on DK but worth whilte. He is facing a terrible MIA team striking out over 30% of the time to RHP and hold a horrible .205 batting average. Scherzer could toss a complete game and have 10-12 Ks and I would not be shocked! Best pitcher on the slate vs. worst team, no brainer let’s move on.
FAVORITE PLAY: TOUKI TOUSSAINT – Wrote the article yesterday and then the game was PPD, fuck! Copied from yesterday: Getting the start today this guy has swing and miss stuff. He started on 4/13 and went 6.0 innings and only gave up 4 hits, 0 ER and 7 Ks. Wow! Looking back into last year he also posted solid numbers with about a K per inning or slightly higher. I’m assuming he is going to be lower owned because most people don’t know who he is and Fantasy Cruncher has him as their 12th value pitcher on the slate which isn’t good. Facing Cleveland they are getting better after starting the year off terribly. They have a 26.5% team strikeout rate and team .207 batting average. This gives our Touki, I just love saying “Touki” in my head a solid floor. You can pair Touki and Lyles and have plenty of money over to stack any hitters you want. Let’s go Touki!
GPP PLAY: AARON NOLA – EEEK! A pitcher I was targeting all over has given up 5 ER to NYM, 4 ER to WAS and 6 ER to WASH again. He is a solid pitcher and he will come around. I don’t mind using him as a great GPP play today. Ownership should be down due to recent performance but so is his price tag at (8100). COL is striking about 26% of the time as a team and hold a low .214 team batting average. GPP play with some upside if we can get on him when he breaks out of his funk!
DISCOUNT STUD: CASTILLO – He has 24, 28 and 34 point games this year and most recently slid down to 15.25 vs. LAD. He also has strikeouts of 7, 8, 9 and 8 giving you a solid floor. SDP are striking out 25.6% of the time as a team and hold a low .221 batting average. He is priced up to 9600 but if you can’t afford some of the other high priced guys he gives you a little bit of a discount with K upside.
(FADE) KLUBER – Fade for me as he has went from 0.90 DK points to 26.7 down to -4.6 facing the likes of the White Sox, Tigers and Royals. He gave up 6 ER in 2.2 to KC and gave up 4 ER in 3.1 to CHW. ATL is a tougher matchup than any of those opponents so I’m going to shy away at his recent struggles and 9400 price tag. It is notable that Fantasy Cruncher has him as the most valuable DFS pitcher today.
(FADE) MILES MIKOLAS – Read above on NYM stack for Mikolas stats.
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